RISI, which analyses global forest product markets, predicts that worldwide demand for recovered paper will increase over the next five years as part of overall growth in the paper and board markets. The market for recovered paper has experienced volatility over the last few decades, with growth down from 4% in last ten years to 1.7% per year in 2013. According to a new RISI study, Outlook for Global Recovered Paper Markets, developing regions will account for about 90% of this demand as they look to developed regions to supply recovered papers.
Hannah Zhao, lead study author and senior recovered paper economist, commented: “We are expecting to see growth in global recovered paper demand at an average rate of 2.5% per year, reaching 346 million tonnes by 2029. Meanwhile, world paper and board output will expand by only 1.8% per year over the same period.”
However, she also says that the nature of the international market will change, noting: “China is the largest consumer and importer of recovered paper, but growth has slowed over the last few years and the nation’s foothold in the market is expected to weaken in terms of import demand. However, key regions could counterbalance market changes with increased imports and demand from other regions over the forecast period.”
The report itself analyses some 120 countries, identifying investment and trading opportunities that apply to the recovered paper business as well as recycled fibre-based paper and board products. More information is available at www.risi.com